Thu, 8 May 18:00:48 GMT17

 
Climate change

Last reviewed: 25-04-2008

RISING TEMPERATURES, MORE EXTREME WEATHER


British explorer and endurance swimmer Lewis Gordon Pugh dives into the sea at the North Pole, July 2007. Pugh swam one kilometre in temperatures of minus 1.8C to highlight the impact of climate change. <br>
REUTERS/Handout
British explorer and endurance swimmer Lewis Gordon Pugh dives into the sea at the North Pole, July 2007. Pugh swam one kilometre in temperatures of minus 1.8C to highlight the impact of climate change.
REUTERS/Handout
The planet's temperature is rising, and it's rising at an accelerated pace that most scientists say is down to manmade factors. As the climate changes, they predict it will lead to more dramatic weather and disasters - not just droughts, but storms, floods and spreading disease too.

  • 250 million people could be displaced by climate-related disasters by 2050
  • The world's poor - the most vulnerable to climage change - need help adapting
  • Climate change increases risk of conflict

Statistics from the International Disaster Database show a steep rise in weather-related disasters since the middle of the 20th century, and the number of people affected is also going up. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says the world can expect more heatwaves and droughts, heavier rains, stronger storms and rising sea levels due to global warming caused by emissions of greenhouse gases.

Africa, Latin America and parts of Asia - where the climate is already more extreme and arid regions are common - are likely to be most affected as rainfall declines and its timing becomes less predictable.

Large numbers of people could be forced to find new homes as their living environments are submerged, or food and water become scarce. British-based aid and development agency Christian Aid quotes a scientist's estimate that up to 250 million people could be displaced by climate-related disasters by the middle of the century. And experts say diseases will spread to new places as the planet changes.

In 2007, the Nobel Peace Prize was awarded jointly to the IPCC and former U.S. Vice President Al Gore for their work in building up and spreading knowledge about climate change. This underlined growing awareness of the potential impact climate change could have on security. Most experts say tensions caused by the environmental impact of climate change won't necessarily lead to conflict - but where they add to or make other stresses worse, there is an increased risk of violence.

There's intense debate and a wide range of competing ideas on how to tackle what could be the most important issue of our time. Many developing countries believe richer nations should make greater commitments to curbing their carbon emissions, and provide more funding to help them adapt to climate change.

In December 2007, at a major meeting in Bali, nearly 200 nations agreed to launch negotiations on a new pact to follow the Kyoto Protocol, which binds rich nations to cap emissions of greenhouse gases until 2012. The United States is the only industrialised country that has not signed the Kyoto Protocol.

Aid agencies are also waking up to the impact of climate change on their projects and the communities with which they work. Increasingly, they are helping local people reduce the risk of climate-related disasters, and calling for more international support to cope with the negative consquences of climate change.


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Angus McLarena, a grains farmer, looks at his failed wheat crop on his farm near the town of West Wyalong in this October 17, 2007 file photo. If farmers think they ...


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