Wed, 20:17 26 Mar 2008 GMT17

 

POLL-Latest scientists' views of sea level rise
31 Jan 2008 13:04:28 GMT
Source: Reuters
Jan 31 (Reuters) - Following are details of a Reuters poll of 10 leading climatologists about likely rises in world sea levels this century:

------------------

Six of the 10 experts contacted by Reuters in the last 10 days stuck to projections by the U.N. Climate Panel that sea levels will rise by between about 20 and 80 cms by 2100. Four said gains could be higher because of likely bigger thawing of Antarctica and Greenland. None thought the IPCC was exaggerating the risks.

------------------

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, February 2007:

The IPCC projected that world sea levels would rise by between 18 and 59 centimetres (7 to 23 inches) this century, after a rise of 17 cms in the 20th century.

The figures include an increased ice flow observed from Antarctica and Greenland from 1993-2003, but the report said that might slow down or speed up and that it was hard to set an upper bound. If the contribution of Antarctica and Greenland were to rise in line with temperatures, the upper range for sea level rise would be 10 to 20 cms higher, it said.

------------------

Experts who say the IPCC report is still the best overview:

Gerald Meehl, U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research (IPCC coordinating lead author of the chapter on sea levels).

Jonathan Gregory, University of Reading, England (IPCC lead author)

Reto Knutti, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (IPCC lead author)

Pierre Friedlingstein, Laboratory of Climate and Environmental Sciences, France (IPCC lead author)

Philippe Huybrechts, Free University of Brussels

David Vaughan, British Antarctic Survey

------------------

Experts who see risks of higher rises:

Andrew Weaver, University of Victoria, Canada (IPCC lead author): "The lower bound should probably be more like 25 cm and the upper bound closer to a metre if you take everything into consideration now."

John Moore, Arctic Centre, University of Lapland:

"Most people looking at it are thinking more in terms of a metre...a model we have based on the observational record of sea level in the past 150 years predicts 1-2 metres by the end of this century."

Kim Holmen, Norwegian Polar Institute:

"I think it will be more. The IPCC builds on published results and the accelerated melting we see in Greenland and some of the signs in Antarctica indicate that there might be more rapid flux of glacial ice into the ocean than previously believed."

Stefan Rahmstorf, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research:

"I think that substantial parts of the scientific community think that this IPCC range is unfortunately not the full story and we could have substantially higher rises...It's my view that more than a metre of sea level rise can't be ruled out."

-- For Reuters latest environment blogs click on: http://blogs.reuters.com/environment/ (Editing by Sara Ledwith)
AlertNet news is provided by

Related articles

Breaking stories
Asia Nepal: Fears for Safety of Tibetans in Kathmandu

Asia Canada court told of Guantanamo rights violations

AlertNet insight
Asia INTERVIEW-New book puts cost of saving planet at $190 bln

Aid agency news feed
Americas Direct Relief International Recognizes World TB Day 2008

Blogs
Middle East Are the radicals of 1968 the humanitarian hawks of today?

Maps
Asia MAP: World areas with confirmed human cases of H5N1 avian influenza since 1 January 2008


Country information


Del.icio.us Del.icio.us  |   Digg Digg  |   NewsVine NewsVine  |   Reddit Reddit   
Thumb for /thefacts/imagerepository/RTRPICT/2008-03-26T201405Z_01_CHA100_RTRIDSP_2_CHINA-TIBET_mainimage.jpg|/thenews/pictures/CHA100.htm
Thumb for /thefacts/imagerepository/RTRPICT/2008-03-26T193554Z_01_CHA105_RTRIDSP_2_CHINA-TIBET_mainimage.jpg|/thenews/pictures/CHA105.htm
Thumb for /thefacts/imagerepository/RTRPICT/2008-03-26T193315Z_01_CHA104_RTRIDSP_2_CHINA-TIBET_mainimage.jpg|/thenews/pictures/CHA104.htm
Thumb for /thefacts/imagerepository/RTRPICT/2008-03-26T193215Z_01_CHA103_RTRIDSP_2_CHINA-TIBET_mainimage.jpg|/thenews/pictures/CHA103.htm
Thumb for /thefacts/imagerepository/RTRPICT/2008-03-26T192756Z_01_CHA102_RTRIDSP_2_CHINA-TIBET_mainimage.jpg|/thenews/pictures/CHA102.htm

A Tibetan exile fixes his headscarf during a Free Tibet demonstration of about 500 protesters in Hamburg in northern Germany March 26, 2008. China's crackdown on anti-government protests in Tibet -- ...



URL: http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L30780279.htm

For our full disclaimer and copyright information please visit http://www.alertnet.org