Wed Oct 3 00:38:09 200717

Fetching...
 
YOU ARE HERE: Homepage > Newsdesk > Article
FACTBOX-U.N. climate panel report's key findings
24 Sep 2007 10:03:14 GMT
Source: Reuters
Sept 24 (Reuters) - Here are key findings on climate change from a Feb. 2 report by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which groups 2,500 researchers from more than 130 nations.

EVIDENCE OF HUMAN CAUSES

* "Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic (human) greenhouse gas concentrations," it says. The IPCC says "very likely" means at least a 90 percent probability.

* "The level of confidence that humans are causing global warming has increased allot," report author Peter Stott said.

TEMPERATURE INCREASES

* It is very likely that extremes such as heat waves and heavy rains will become more frequent.

* "For the first time we have a best estimate of what we can achieve if we keep emissions levels lower," said report chair Susan Solomon.

* The report does not include possible warming from methane, a potent greenhouse gas, escaping from melting permafrost.

* Warming is expected to be greatest over land and at high northern latitudes, and least over the Southern Ocean and North Atlantic.

SEA LEVEL RISES

* The report cites six models with core projections of sea level rises ranging from 7.2 to 23.6 inches (18 to 59 cm) this century. That is a narrower and lower band than the 3.5 to 34.6 inch (9 to 88 cm) gain forecast in 2001.

* If the Greenland ice sheet melts proportionally to the temperature increases, then sea levels would rise by up to 31.6 inches (79 cm) this century.

* Some models show an ice-free Arctic in summer by 2100, meaning that sea ice floating in the water disappears, but not ice resting on Greenland.

* If the Greenland ice sheet melted completely, that would lead to a 23.1-foot (7 meter) sea level increase.

CHANGING OCEAN CURRENTS

* The report predicts a gradual slow-down this century in ocean currents such as the one which carries warm water to north-west Europe.

* "It's very unlikely there will be an abrupt breakdown in ocean currents in the 21st century," said Jurgen Willebrand, the report's author with special expertise in ocean effects.

HURRICANES

* The report says it is "more likely than not" that a trend of increasing intense tropical cyclones and hurricanes has a human cause.

* It predicts such tropical cyclones will become more intense in the future.

* "There may not be an increase in number, there may be a redistribution to more intense events -- which is what has been observed in the Atlantic since 1970," Stott said.
AlertNet news is provided by

Delicio.us  |   Digg  |   NewsVine  |   Reddit                                                                                  Permalink

FEATURE-Jewish "intactivitsts" in U.S. stop circumcising
FEATURE-Despite warming, ships to shun Northwest Passage
Fire traps workers beneath Colorado power plant
US House calls for plan to pull forces from Iraq
World Food Program urges U.S. to boost aid funds
Workshop on "People, Policy and Partnership for Disaster Resilinet Development", November 3rd &4th 2007, New Delhi
Workshop on "People, Policy and Partnership for Disaster Resilient Development", November 3rd &4th 2007, New Delhi
FTSE 100 climate commitments may lead to increased emissions, says Christian Aid
CWS situation report: Ethiopian floods
Don't forget Asia floods, aid agencies say
Thumb for /thefacts/imagerepository/RTRPICT/2007-10-02T210937Z_01_SYD100_RTRIDSP_2_AUSTRALIA_mainimage.jpg|/thenews/pictures/SYD100.htm
Thumb for /thefacts/imagerepository/RTRPICT/2007-10-02T102845Z_01_PEK09_RTRIDSP_2_CHINA_mainimage.jpg|/thenews/pictures/PEK09.htm
Thumb for /thefacts/imagerepository/RTRPICT/2007-10-02T084526Z_01_SYD06_RTRIDSP_2_ENVIRONMENT-AUSTRALIA-CLIMATE_mainimage.jpg|/thenews/pictures/SYD06.htm
Thumb for /thefacts/imagerepository/RTRPICT/2007-10-02T084442Z_01_SYD05_RTRIDSP_2_ENVIRONMENT-AUSTRALIA-CLIMATE_mainimage.jpg|/thenews/pictures/SYD05.htm
Thumb for /thefacts/imagerepository/RTRPICT/2007-10-02T084315Z_01_SYD04_RTRIDSP_2_ENVIRONMENT-AUSTRALIA-CLIMATE_mainimage.jpg|/thenews/pictures/SYD04.htm

A fishing trawler is seen off Manly Beach in Sydney as the sun rises October 3, 2007. Severe weather conditions are forescast Wednesday and a total fire ban is in force as firefighters and volunteers try to contain bushfires north of Sydney which have burnt hundreds of acres of national park.



URL: http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/N20425718.htm

For our full disclaimer and copyright information please visit http://www.alertnet.org