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Rice's skills as Mideast mediator face a serious test
21 Nov 2007 18:52:18 GMT
Source: Reuters
(Adds Rice quote, paragraph 5)

By Sue Pleming

WASHINGTON, Nov 21 (Reuters) - Condoleezza Rice taught crisis management at Stanford University but experts say the top U.S. diplomat will need more than academic prowess to mediate an end to six decades of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

"The question is, will she have that diplomatic skill to pull it off?" asked Daniel Levy, a former Israeli mediator now with the New America Foundation.

Secretary of State Rice is hosting a Middle East peace conference in Annapolis on Nov. 27 aimed at launching formal Palestinian statehood negotiations between Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas.

Rice has conceded many times the task ahead is daunting but says her six years as Stanford provost and nearly seven years as national security adviser and secretary of state, have shown her how to "get these things done."

"I have spent a lot of my life negotiating. You may not think that you have to negotiate much as a provost at Stanford but let me assure you, you do. You have to persuade and cajole and do all kinds of things to get things done," Rice told reporters on Wednesday.

With a background in Soviet affairs and criticism the Bush administration has taken up Arab-Israeli peacemaking too late, some experts point to her lack of Middle East experience as she tries to get a deal that has eluded all of her predecessors.

"She doesn't have a significant background in the Middle East so, if I were to look at somebody's CV or professional background in this particular area, you'd have to be skeptical," said one Arab diplomat, who asked not to be named.

"On the other hand, if this Annapolis conference works ... it will be to a great extent because of the way she's handled it," he added.

In her tenure at the State Department, Rice has left most negotiations to senior staff -- whether on North Korea's nuclear program or an Indian civil nuclear deal, neither of which are complete.

Rice has plunged into direct negotiations only once, in November 2005 when she helped broker a deal to improve access of goods and people into Gaza. It was never fully implemented.

"She does not have a strong track record of being a negotiator," said former CIA analyst Bruce Riedel, now at the Saban Center at the Brookings Institution.

But Rice has made clear she's ready to work hard to get a deal until President George W. Bush's last day in office in January 2009.

She told reporters last month she would persist "until I've given my last ounce of energy and my last moment in office."

Asked if she were ready to get her hands dirty, she laughed and said: "I don't know how much dirtier I can get my hands."

Rice considers herself a natural debater and likes the intellectual "give and take" of negotiations. Her staff say she never loses sight of the overall strategic picture of an issue no matter how many crises come her way.

ADVICE

Former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright advised Rice to boost her negotiating team and appoint a special Middle East envoy to tackle day-to-day Arab-Israeli peacemaking.

"This should be seen as the beginning of a process in which she is going to have to be intimately involved and I would also advise her to get the president of the United States up to date on what is happening and ... and have some kind of a robust peace team," said Albright.

Rice has often said she can "walk and chew gum" at the same time, but Albright pointed to the difficulties of juggling major issues like Iran and Iraq while the Middle East consumes her energy.

"(For) the secretary of state and others -- having been there and done that -- it is very hard for a year to keep attention on one thing," said Albright.

Aaron David Miller, a U.S. mediator in Arab-Israeli negotiations, said his advice to Rice was simple: "Above all, do no harm. Don't over reach, think things out carefully, don't commit yourself to things you can't deliver and be very patient."

"Do not succumb to the temptation and power of the ticking clock," he added. "Don't go too fast. We don't need another failure. I helped participate in too many."

Former envoy for the Clinton administration, Dennis Ross, said a fatal flaw would be Rice wanting peace more than the rival participants.

"If it is more important to her then they will all simply sit back and wait for her to deliver concessions to everyone else and they won't do anything on their own," he said. (Additional reporting by Arshad Mohammed, editing by Chris Wilson and Stuart Grudgings)
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A general view of the Jewish settlement of Ariel, near the West Bank city of Nablus November 20, 2007. The rolling hills inland from Israel's busy coastal strip are dotted with towns and villages nestled under towers rising above the olive groves. Look closely, though, and one sees differences. Some towers are the minarets of mosques, others are concrete lookout posts for Israeli troops guarding Jewish settlements in the West Bank. Picture taken November 20, 2007. To match feature PALESTINIANS-ISRAEL/SETTLERS REUTERS/Gil Cohen Magen (WEST BANK)



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